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Mofo's 2069 Trade Value
Topic Started: Jun 28 2018, 01:40 PM (149 Views)
Mofoticon
EBL Commissioner
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Taking a page from Bill Simmons annual NBA Trade Value column, I'm going to write an EBL version of it. The rules of the article:

1. Salaries matter (slightly). Would you rather pay Santo Speer 2.7 million this year or Kirby Keefer 21.262 million?

2. Age matters. Would you rather have Santo Lundy for the next 11 years or Sid Chase for the next 7?

3. Pretend EBL passed a rule for 24 hours saying any player could be traded straight up for another player without cap ramifications. Team A comes to Team B and offers "Player X for Player Y", would Team B do it?

4. Degrees matter. I don't think New Orleans or Oklahoma City would trade Kent Cannon or Alvaro Montejo, but at the least, New Orleans would say "Wow, Montejo is available?" while Oklahoma City would say "There's no way we're trading Montejo". This matters in the scheme of things.

5. The list runs in reverse order. So if Ivo Zoric comes in at #22, players 21-1 are all players Minnesota would say "I hate giving up Zoric, but there's no way I can pass up on this deal" and they wouldn't trade him for players 23-40.

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First off, the players from last year's edition who are left off this year (with where they were in parenthesis): Cole Hawthorne (40) has declined just enough as an offensive player to not make the cut this year...Kevin Thompson (39) broke his skull, but even before that had started to decline finally at age 33...Cliff Wall (37) remains a good and efficient player, but his all around game is declining and he's 33 now, which makes him eligible for retirement in 3 sims...Percy Sidney (30) has shown that last years big season was a fluke...Yoshirou Ueda (27) is far removed from his 30 PPG days...Marc Perry (26) had a terrible TC and finds himself as a good but not great starting SF now in Dallas...

Starting off with the toughest omissions, from least tough to toughest (previous ranking in parenthesis)

Major Marshall (Kings, UR)

Marshall has taken the last 3 seasons to develop into a good starter, but it's happened now and he could be in line for a similar mid to late career resurgence that Lance Nash had for the Kings. He's still only 28 and a very good shooter, just has to work on his handling some.

Silver Burrell (Hornets, UR)

Burrell is having his best all around season to date as he helps lead the Hornets to an elite defense. He is top 20 in both RPG and BPG and also provides solid offense. He's not flashy or impactful enough to make the top 40 at this point, but he's still got upside from here.

Brett Brasher (Bulls, UR)

He's not the same level of offensive player he was just 2 seasons ago, which made him a constant guy in the top 40, but he still makes enough of an impact with his rebounding and defense to warrant honorable mention.

Reese DeWolfe (Cavs, UR)

Reese has improved dramatically as a shot blocker this year, going from 2 to 3.5 per game. He's a nightly double double next to Lundy and is a valuable starter for the defending East champ Cavs.

Lucas Rowe (Rockets, UR)

Rowe continues to do what he does, put up high rebounding and shot blocking and not much scoring. His offense can be a liability at times, but he does enough on the other side of the ball to be an impact player.

Jarrod Eckert (Clippers, UR)

Eckert's scoring of 2 seasons ago is gone as the Clippers have become better, but his rebounding and shot blocking are at career high levels in season 4. He will be a big part of their success going forward should he stay in LA.

Jeremiah Bowman (Blazers, 19)

A big fall this year for Bowman, his offense has taken a major dive this year at age 32. He remains the best passer in the league, but a decline this bad in all offensive categories is likely a bad sign for his future.

Massala Belcher (Blazers, UR)

While Bowman's stock is falling, his backcourt teammate's is rising. It's taken a while for Belcher to be a 20 PPG scorer, but now in year 4 he's shown he can do it on a nightly basis. He still needs to become a better all around player to get into the top 40, though.

Gabrielius Simoneit (Kings, 32)

Gabe remains the Kings best player, but he has failed to live up to the career high numbers he put up a season ago. Though the numbers haven't dropped far, he still needs to show more and cut down on his career high turnover numbers to get back into the top 40.

Redd Honeycutt (Hornets, UR)

The toughest guy to leave off this year, Honeycutt has really become an impact player on the defensive side of the ball. With over 13 RPG and 3 BPG, he has been an anchor for the Hornets all season and he can still become a better offensive player from here.

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Group O-The Next Star Big Man?

40. Ian Kelley (Spurs, UR)

Kelley has plenty going for him to get him into the top 40, mostly his youth (19) and offensive potential (15.1 PPG in year 2). He's shown steady progress in everything, which is what you want to see from a player. However, he is still not a good rebounder, and will need to become much better at it to reach his full potential going forward. Still, I can see him becoming a yearly 20/10 guy, something very few bigs do in EBL.


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Group N-Talented, but Flaws Exist

39. Mihovil Ivanovic (Pistons, UR)

Mihovil improved in defense this past TC and its enough to get him into the top 40 now. He's having a very similar season to last year as he remains a great inside scoring, good rebounder and elite shot blocker. His FT shooting remains a major weakness though and that will never change.

38. Teddy Cruse (Cavs, 38)

He has fit in very well on the Cavs, giving them a boost at the SG spot. He's become more of a playmaker this year, averaging 4.5 APG. What continues to hold him back from being a potential 25 PPG scorer is his 3pt shooting. For a starting SG in EBL, it is below average.

37. Cyrus Kellogg (Hawks, UR)

Cyrus has helped the Hawks win some games this year with his nearly 24 PPG, but he doesn't make much of an impact besides PPG. He still has some developing to do as an all around player in the seasons to come, and also to prove he can score at this level when the Hawks get better.


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Group M-Overrated, or Underrated?

36. Domingo Reck (Cavs, UR)

Domingo is a tough person to peg. On one hand, he's the starting PG on the defending East champs and is top 10 in APG with good efficiency in his 3pt shooting. On the other hand, he's not much of a scorer from the PG spot and his all around impact is questionable. I don't know how much of a difference Reck makes, but I do know he has earned a spot in the top 40 still.


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Group L-Remarkably Similar

35. Billie Calhoun (Hornets, 16)
34. Jed Daws (Cavs, 33)


These two guys are very similar players at this stage of their careers. Calhoun is having a worse PPG season, but he's also a better defender than Daws. Ultimately, they are both producing good seasons, but they both struggle big time with turnovers. For Calhoun, that seems unlikely to ever change, while Daws is 6 years younger and has a chance to overcome it in the future. For now, they both produce enough to make a difference and earn a top 35 spot, but not more than that.


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Group K-The Best Lakers

33. Damon Dennis (Lakers, UR)
32. Hong Liu (Lakers, 31)


Dennis is having a really good all around season for LA, tying for the lead in RPG and averaging nearly 16 PPG and 3.4 BPG. He's earned his spot back in the top 40 with production like this, even at age 31. Hong continues to produce very high scoring numbers for the 2nd straight season. He's currently 5th in EBL in PPG at 28.6 per game and is getting over 9 APG as well, but he remains a poor defender and leads EBL in TOPG this year at 4. He's got his strengths, but also weaknesses.


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Group J-Untapped Potential

31. Silvio Maloney (Warriors, 36)

Still only in year 3, Maloney is a bright spot for a bad GS team. He's drastically improved his RPG for the 3rd straight year, and while his offense has taken a step back this year, it's not something I'm concerned about with him. He's a very talented player who over time will become one of the best centers in EBL.

30. Vernon Paxton (Mavs, 29)

Paxton's become more of a passer at the big man spot this year, getting over 4 APG while his PPG has decreased some (made up for by Perry/Brooks). His defensive issues are definitely overblown, but he needs to become a standout at something to move up in trade value, rather than being a good jack of all trades big that he is now.


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Group I-Sophomore Struggles?

29. Florentin Guenier (Celtics, 35)

He did move up 6 spots this year in trade value, but I expected a much bigger leap based on his rookie season. He didn't have a good TC and has become a worse offensive player in year 2 than year 1. It's definitely disappointing, but he's still having a good season all around and is too talented to struggle with his offensive game going forward.


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Group H-Reliably Consistent

28. Terry Freeman (Suns, 25)
27. Yijun Yeung (Rockets, 24)


They may not be teammates anymore, but they are forever linked together due to their success. Terry is having a great all around season for the Suns and could be a major difference maker this trade season should someone step up and acquire him. Yijun continues to lead the Rockets to an elite defense and his offense is more important than ever to Houston with Rowe's struggles on that side of the ball.

26. Jimmy Mitchell (Nuggets, 17)
25. Devin Walker (Nuggets, UR)


Jimmy has had an up and down season and is coming off an injury, but he's still not far removed from a title and Playoff MVP. Considering he's putting up 20/10, a lot of players would take the "struggles" he's had this year. Meanwhile, Walker has bounced back in a big way after struggling in the regular season last year for Denver, especially with 3pt shooting. He's back around 40% in that category this year while also producing 26/10/4. He's helped keep Denver afloat amidst changes and injuries and he's earned the top 25 spot once again.

24. Kirby Keefer (Pacers, 28)

Keefer's having arguably his best all around season for the Suns/Pacers this year, but he's still largely the same player he's been the past few seasons, only he's gotten more chances to score outside of Oh's shadow. Still only 29, he still fits best as a #2 like he is in Indy to Solo Fall.


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Group G-The Jazz's Hope

23. Santo Speer (Jazz, 34)

The Jazz are really bad and will likely continue to be really bad for the foreseeable future, but Santo Speer is their hope for success going forward. He's already putting up great numbers (inflated some by the team around him) but he still has room to improve as a shooter, defender and handler over time. Only 19, he can become a superstar in EBL with the right development.


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Group F-The Breakout

22. Ivo Zoric (TWolves, UR)

Ivo has long been a good player in EBL, someone capable of getting 19-22 PPG but he wasn't gonna be able to impact the game much beyond that. This year, that's all changed, as playing with Josh Dawson has gotten the TWolves to the leagues top offense through 5 sims, and Zoric has a huge hand in that. Averaging 25 PPG on 48% shooting and 45% from 3, he's become a valuable piece to have in this league.


Coming tomorrow-Part 2! (21-1)
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Mofoticon
EBL Commissioner
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Part 2! Thanks to everyone for reading and I hope you enjoyed

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Group E-The Best of the Bigs

21. Dirk Faulk (Pacers, 22)

Dirk has seemingly settled in as the player he's gonna be long term. A 14/14 guy who plays great defense and handles well for a big, but isn't capable of being a great scorer. Certainly a very valuable big to have, but you did expect more earlier on in his career.

20. Zavier Anthony (Nets, 20)

Zavier is one of the most consistently great big men EBL has seen in a while. He's been among the best big men in the league for 6-8 seasons now with no signs of slowing down at age 28.

19. Sid Chase (Wizards, 15)

While Sid isn't putting up the amazing rebounding season from last year, he's still doing very good at it, cracking the top 10 at 13.4 per game. He's also got his BPG up over 3 for the first time. Definitely a huge key to the Wizards success the past few years.

18. Santo Lundy (Cavs, 23)

With his play this season and last, Santo has become the premiere center in EBL to have going forward. Now that he's locked up long term, his value is boosted into the top 20. Currently tied for the league lead in RPG, Santo continues to get better each year.

17. Karl Ogden (Clippers, 14)

Ogden remains the most valuable full time big man in EBL to have, despite the 3 spot drop. He's remained an elite scorer/rebounder as a big man despite the addition of Wheeler to potentially steal some shots. The only thing he's lacking is an outside game, but he gets by just fine without it.


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Group D-From Superstar to Sidekick

16. Jacek Zawisza (Rockets, 10)

This is the first time in recent history that Jacek isn't the top guy on his team, as he's taken a backseat to Alec Oh. He's responded with a very good season, putting up 24/7.5/4/2.6. But Jacek was the #1 guy on trade value only two seasons ago, so to see him become a sidekick still in his prime at age 28 is a surprise. It definitely doesn't help his value if he's not putting up the 28-30 PPG we are accustomed to seeing.


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Group C-Elite Point Guards

15. Milo St. Pierre (Pistons, 11)

Milo had that great TC this year, becoming a 3 A+ player, but his stats haven't reflected it. He's been great again, but hasn't taken a leap you'd expect after a TC like that. Still only 29, he could be a MVP in the near future if he picks up his play a little more.

14. Parker Jansen (Nets, 9)

A 5 spot drop for Jansen, as he is 32 now and the Nets just had a pretty successful sim without him (which makes you wonder just how valuable he is to the team?). Ultimately his play remains elite though, and despite his defensive ability starting to fade, no other part of his game is yet.

13. Travis Carman (76ers, 18)

Carman was traded to the 76ers and has seen his numbers improve dramatically from where they were, which was pretty great. He's up to 26.7 PPG, which is borderline top 10 right now, and 10.6 APG, which is top 10. He's shown this year that he's still improving as a player and could become a top 10 guy by next year.

12. Antanas Simoneit (Wizards, 8)

Antanas isn't shooting 51% from the field again like last year (and the year before), but he's still at 49% and 45% from 3. His offensive efficiency is his best quality, but his handling and scoring are top notch as well. Just his defense holds him back from being a complete player.

11. Kent Cannon (Hornets, 12)

Just outside the top 10, but Kent has had a bit of a career resurgence since being traded to the Hornets, as he's at his highest PPG total in 5 seasons and still getting over 10 APG. He's also at a career high 43% from 3. Still only 31, Kent has the Hornets as title contenders this season.

10. Alvaro Montejo (Thunder, UR)

Perhaps no player in recent history has come out of nowhere to become an elite player like Montejo has season to season. He just had a monster TC this year which turned him into the player he is now, putting up 28/10 and single handily keeping OKC in fringe playoff contention. A pending FA this year, Alvaro should be on his way to a lot of interest if he tests.


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Group B-Franchise Players

9. Christian Frazier (Pistons, 3)
8. Alec Oh (Rockets, 2)


Both of these guys remain elite cornerstone players for their respective contenders, but they are either 30 or on the wrong side of 30, and the 7 guys above them have youth on their side, so it causes them to drop near the end of the top 10. Make no mistake though, they haven't shown much if any signs of decline yet.

7. Solo Fall (Pacers, 7)

Solo could be a candidate for the top 5 if he were signed long term, but as of now there's some risk to him because of his pending FA. Otherwise, he's a franchise PG in every way. He's really developed into one the last 1 1/2 seasons and there's no reason to believe that will change in the next decade.

6. Farran Bullock (Rockets, 5)

His APG is down some this year, but besides that he remains largely the same as a year ago. The 3 time Playoff MVP is one of the best winners EBL has ever seen and he's still under 30.


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Group A-The Untouchables

5. Jesse Jerome (Raptors, 21)

Jerome has played SF, PF and super 6th man this year, but he's now proven that he fits best at PF. There's nothing he can't do on the floor, as he can score inside and out, handle, defend and rebound at good or better levels. All this when he's only 22. He's earned his status in group A with the untouchables based on how productive he's become as he helps carry the Raptors into Central contention.

4. Kerr Toller (Spurs, 4)

Now a Spur, Toller's numbers are down slightly from the ridiculous levels last year, but he's still producing plenty. Still only 25, Toller has a lot of seasons ahead of him of being a superstar in EBL as perhaps no wing player has the all around ability Toller has.

3. Willie Brooks (Mavs, 13)

Brooks had a little bit of a shaky start in Dallas last year, but once the playoffs rolled around he was a large reason the Mavs swept Houston and he hasn't slowed down since then. Averaging 31/8/5/2, he's having the best season of any non Wheeler player in EBL this year. He has the Mavs in prime position to contend for the title and feels like he's at his absolute peak value right now.

2. Josh Dawson (TWolves, 6)

Dawson is simply too good and too productive at too young an age to be any lower than 2nd this year. He is challenging for first in both FG% and 3pt%, and considering how much he shoots/scores (28.3 PPG), that is saying a lot. He's also becoming a great passer at the SG spot, up to 4.8 APG, and is the main reason the TWolves have the #1 offense in the league right now. Despite losing Rowe for nothing and having questionable bigs, the TWolves are 27-20 and a firm playoff team, and Dawson deserves credit for it. He could easily be #1 on this by next year if things break his way.

1. Allan Wheeler (Clippers, 1)

Wheeler's reign at #1 continues into year 2, as he currently leads the league in PPG again at 32.3 while averaging 10.6 APG. Nobody in EBL can compete with Wheeler right now on a talent and production basis. He has a stranglehold on #1 for now.
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Derek McFadden
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Two top 40s, and two honorable mentions. I'll take it. Cannon is on fire right now.
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